Jake Osgathorpe previews Premier League Matchday 10 betting tips

Arsenal look to extend league lead against Hull City

Arsenal enters the weekend leading the Premier League table after winning eight of their first nine matches.

Hull City currently sits 11th in the league table with two losses and five draws through nine matches. The side has allowed 1.47 xGA per game, and no opponent has scored three goals against them in a single match this season.

Arsenal played in Czechia on Wednesday in a match that finished with under 3.5 goals.

Fulham and Newcastle face off in low-scoring encounter

Fulham won two and lost one of their last six league games, while Newcastle United lost four of their last six, Sporting Life reported. Newcastle ranks as the third-worst attacking team in the league through nine games, averaging 1.16 expected goals per game.

Six of Fulham’s nine matches resulted in three goals or fewer. Osgathorpe recommends betting on under 2.5 goals at 5/4 for the match, noting that all of Newcastle’s last three games and six of Fulham’s nine games stayed under that threshold.

Leeds United and Tottenham Hotspur defensive metrics

Leeds United failed to win in their last five matches, losing two, after winning three of their first six games, according to Sporting Life. Leeds games average 1.9 goals per game, the lowest in the league, with seven of their nine matches finishing with under 2.5 goals.

Tottenham Hotspur games average 2.2 goals per game, with six of their nine matches ending with under 2.5 goals. Leeds averages 1.24 expected goals for and 1.31 expected goals against per game, while Tottenham averages 1.30 expected goals for and 1.12 expected goals against.

Nottingham Forest and Manchester City foul-based betting

Nottingham Forest ranks third in expected points but sits second-bottom in actual points, Sporting Life reported. Manchester City lost their last two league games against Aston Villa and Brighton, though they won their Champions League match at Leipzig on Wednesday.

Nottingham Forest committed 127 fouls, or 14.1 per game, while Manchester City won 133 fouls, or 14.8 per game.

Elliot Anderson won 2+ fouls in eight of his nine Premier League appearances. Jeremy Doku won 2+ fouls in seven of his eight outings where he played more than 20 minutes.

Crystal Palace manager Oliver Glasner warns of potential turnaround

Crystal Palace have lost five of nine games this season. The club is winless at home and has yet to score a home goal.

Glasner said, "I will tell [the players] what we want to do, what we have to do, and if the players buy in, I think we can have a turnaround, and if not, the sixth manager [since the start of last season] will come in".

Jake Osgathorpe's career and industry experience

Jake Osgathorpe is the Deputy Football Editor for Sporting Life, Infogol, and Timeform. Based in Whitefield, England, Osgathorpe has more than 12 years of industry experience. He attended his first football match between Sheffield Wednesday and Swindon Town.

The Sporting Life football team launched the "This Week's Acca" podcast as an experimental project in December 2023. That podcast reached a milestone of more than 1,000 subscribers on YouTube. A new podcast featuring Dom Newton, Tom Carnduff, and Osgathorpe has also launched on Sporting Life.

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