Republicans slash Trump mentions in ads to under 1% as midterms near
- Less than $1 of every $100 GOP ad spend mentions Trump.
- Democrats spent $20 of every $100 on ads naming Trump.
- Republican pollster Whit Ayres cites Trump’s 30‑point approval as a liability.
- Sen. Dan Sullivan and Rep. Mike Rogers aired ads distancing from Trump.
- Trump told rally crowds to ‘pretend I’m on the ballot’ despite GOP silence.
From Sept. 9 through Oct. 17, less than one cent of every dollar Republican TV and streaming ads for House and Senate races mentioned former President Trump, according to a New York Times analysis of AdImpact data. During the same window Republicans aired the president’s name only about 16,000 times at an estimated cost of $11 million.
Democrats, by contrast, ran ads that referred to Trump nearly 180,000 times. Their spending allocated $20 of every $100 to spots mentioning Trump. In general‑election ads, Trump’s name appeared in just three of every hundred Republican airings. A New York Times reporter examined the digital archives of the current cycle, sorting thousands of broadcast and streaming ads to log themes and language. The data cover the period leading up to the 2026 midterm elections.
Democrats pour money into anti‑Trump ads
In House and Senate primaries, Democrats spent roughly $50 of every $100 on TV spots that mentioned Trump. They focused those anti‑Trump ads in states the president lost or won narrowly in 2024, including Maine, Georgia, Michigan and New Hampshire. Voters report fatigue with attack ads, preferring brief messages about lower grocery costs and school safety.
Strategists say low Trump approval hurts GOP messaging
Whit Ayres, a Republican pollster and strategist, said, “When the president’s approval rating is in the 30s, that’s not generally something that’s helpful for a campaign that needs to get to 50% of the vote.”
Jesse Ferguson, a Democratic strategist, warned, “Voters blame what they’ve done for the pain that they’re feeling, so Republicans don’t want to own that.”
Battleground Republican Senate candidates and their allies have largely steered clear of mentioning Trump in recent ads, according to a report.
GOP candidates distance themselves from Trump in specific ads
Republican candidates have been distancing themselves from Trump, scrubbing his name from websites, criticizing his policies and demanding removal of a Trump endorsement billboard.
Sen. Dan Sullivan of Alaska aired an ad on Oct. 7 that said he “voted to force Trump’s DOJ to release the Epstein files,” avoiding praise of the former president.
Former Rep. Mike Rogers, the Republican Senate nominee in Michigan, ran an Oct. 10 ad that rejected Trump’s trade war with Canada, stating “Canada is not our enemy” and urging an end to the tariff war.
In Pennsylvania, Rep. Ryan Mackenzie won narrowly two years ago and is betting that Donald Trump will help him again.
Mackenzie later embraced President Trump at the GOP convention in Dallas, launching an attack on his Democratic opponent Bob Brooks.
Democrat Bob Brooks told Mackenzie to take down “false and defamatory” ads in the Lehigh Valley House race.
Brooks has drawn support from across the Democratic spectrum, including Governor Josh Shapiro and U.S. Senator Bernie Sanders.
Brooks, a firefighter and union leader, is running for a U.S. House seat in a key Pennsylvania swing district.
Trump urges voters to ‘pretend I’m on the ballot’ at rallies
At rallies across the country, Donald Trump told supporters to "pretend I’m on the ballot" as the midterms approach. He made the appeal while his approval rating sits at 33% among U.S. adults, with two‑thirds disapproving and more than half expressing strong disapproval.
Republican ads largely ignore President Biden
Republican broadcast and streaming ads mention President Joe Biden in only a tiny fraction of a percent of airings. Most spots feature inflation charts, border‑fence imagery and empty grocery‑store shelves, with Biden’s face rarely shown. Strategists say Biden is a "known quantity" who does not need introduction, explanation or attack, so they deliberately erase him from most ads. The GOP argues that attacking Biden would be "beating a dead horse" and a waste of precious media dollars that could instead discuss the future. When Biden does appear, it is usually a quick soft‑cut before the ad pivots to a broader critique of "Bidenomics". Historically, Republican campaigns have demonized the opposing leader, as Mitt Romney repeatedly invoked Barack Obama and Donald Trump hammered Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden’s mental acuity.
Trump’s name still shows up in primary ads, not general election
In Republican primaries, Trump’s name showed up in more than half of all broadcast and streaming ad airings.
Frequently Asked Questions
- Republicans Barely Mention Trump in Political Ads Ahead of the Midterms - The New York Times (nytimes.com)
- Trump Urges Voters to Focus on Him. Republican Ads Tell a Different Story. - GV Wire (gvwire.com)
- Republicans Barely Mention Trump in Political Ads Ahead of the Midterms | Bull Source (bullsource.com)
- Trump wants the midterms to be all about himself. Judging by the ads, Democrats are happy to oblige | Arkansas Advocate (arkansasadvocate.com)
- Democrat Bob Brooks tells Rep. Ryan Mackenzie to take down ‘false and defamatory’ ads in Lehigh Valley swing district race (inquirer.com)
- Upstract (upstract.com)
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