Shanghai industrial stocks outpace U.S. tech as commodity markets shift
- Shanghai-listed companies generated 4.01 trillion yuan in net profit.
- STAR Market firms posted 474.6% year-on-year net profit growth.
- Global commodity markets are shifting from demand-led to supply-constrained cycles.
- AI data-center expansion is creating massive new electricity demand.
- U.S. tech stocks like Western Digital led recent market declines.
The same period saw total revenue of 39.07 trillion yuan, a 3.8% increase from the prior year, as disclosed by the Shanghai Stock Exchange’s third‑quarter filings completed on 31 Oct 2026.
All 2,317 firms had completed their third‑quarter disclosures by the end of October, confirming that about 80% were profitable and that 60% reported net‑profit growth year‑on‑year. Non‑financial firms generated operating cash flow of 2.83 trillion yuan, 18.3% higher than a year earlier and 1.5 times their net profit.
The market shift toward industrial and high‑tech manufacturing is highlighted by the Shanghai report, which notes earnings moving toward those segments and blue‑chip firms providing stability while STAR Market and manufacturing firms show strong profit growth. Global commodity markets are shifting toward supply-driven security, a trend echoed in parallel market movements worldwide.
U.S. market data on the same day show the Nasdaq Composite falling 1.25% to 26,310.99, the S&P 500 down 0.55% to 7,702.64, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipping 0.08% to 53,416.87, reflecting broader investor sentiment amid inflation and yield concerns. Apple reported revenue of $113.4 billion and earnings per share of $1.99, raising some hardware prices because of higher memory costs.
Since the 2022 bear‑market bottom, the Dow has risen 82%, the S&P 500 115%, and the Nasdaq 154%, according to Fool.com, while the Shiller CAPE ratio for the S&P 500 stood at 40.66, 133% above its 156‑year average, marking an unusually high valuation. The CAPE has stayed above 40 for six consecutive months since May 2026, a level first exceeded in 1999‑2000 before the dot‑com bust. Research shows every 20‑year rolling period since 1900 delivered a positive average annual total return for the S&P 500, implying long‑term profitability.
Home Depot reported second‑quarter earnings of $4.92 per share and sales of $47.861 billion, both beating analyst estimates. In contrast, Fabrinet’s shares fell about 19% after issuing guidance below expectations. Several Nasdaq‑listed firms experienced extreme moves: Profusa surged 193% to $13.26, Xos jumped 106% to $4.32, Wetour Robotics rose 73% to $42.62, while Lucas GC fell 79% to $0.30, Synergy CHC dropped 31% to $0.11, and Ucloudlink declined 28% to $0.49.
European markets slipped modestly, with the STOXX 600 down 0.3%, Germany’s DAX down 0.3%, France’s CAC 40 down 0.4%, while Spain’s IBEX 35 rose 0.4% and London’s FTSE 100 gained 0.3%. In Asia, Japan’s Nikkei fell 2.54%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng edged up 0.07%, China’s Shanghai Composite rose 0.19%, and India’s BSE Sensex slipped 0.63%. Commodity prices moved: oil rose 0.8% to $85.18, gold fell 0.5% to $4,451.30, silver dropped 1.5% to $65.25, and copper fell 0.9% to $6.5585.
STAR Market companies lead with 474.6% profit growth
The 614 companies listed on the Shanghai STAR Market reported a 474.6% increase in net profit for the first three quarters of 2026.
Third-quarter performance remained strong with net profit jumping 455.3% year-on-year, while revenue grew 44.8%. Within this group, 277 companies recorded net-profit growth on a quarter-on-quarter basis.
The STAR Market maintained a median gross margin of 36.7% during the first nine months of 2026. These companies also recorded a median R&D intensity of 12.6%, the highest among all board types.
Industrial and high-tech manufacturing drive market gains
These firms expanded their share of total market profit by 4.5 percentage points.
Manufacturing firms saw net profit rise 39.5% year-on-year, accounting for 42.6% of total non-financial industrial profit, an increase of 6.8 percentage points. High-tech manufacturing firms increased their share of non-financial industrial net profit by 8.4 percentage points. The year-on-year net-profit growth rate for high-tech manufacturing accelerated by 8.2 percentage points compared to the first half of 2026.
This revenue growth was 1.1 percentage points higher than the overall Shanghai market, while profit growth was 3.8 percentage points higher.
Both revenue and profit growth for the SSE 180 were 0.9 percentage points above the overall Shanghai market growth.
Global commodity markets shift to supply-driven security
This is not simply another commodity supercycle.
AI infrastructure expansion strains global power grids
The expansion of AI and data‑centre activity is creating new electricity demand that is further straining power grids already coping with electrification.
U.S. tech stocks decline amid inflation and yield concerns
Tech stocks such as Western Digital and SanDisk led the losses on the Nasdaq decline, with Western Digital shares dropping 7% and SanDisk falling 9%. Information‑technology stocks fell 1.9% while health‑care stocks rose 1.8%.
Geopolitical tensions disrupt global energy and shipping
Silver futures traded at $49.276 per ounce, down 5.70%; micro gold futures at $3,898.9 per ounce, down 3.34%; micro silver futures at $49.276 per ounce, down 5.68%; and gold futures at $3,898.9 per ounce, down 3.34%.
Upcoming U.S. midterm elections and earnings reports
U.S. import prices fell 0.4% month‑over‑month in July. U.S. pending home sales declined 2.3% month‑over‑month in July.
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